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Why do you trust my evaluation of your chance of admission?

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It never ceases to amaze me why these chance me threads exist. We are not Admission Officers. We have no hard numbers on EA/ED/ED2/RD. We are guessing in the dark as much as everyone. For a very competitive school like U of C, my guess (or anyone on CC) on anyone's chance of admission is no better than a flip of coin. I would hate to give false hope or discouragement to any prospective student. So why does any applicant ask for it? More importantly, why does any parent feel that they can think like Nondorf and his staff and give a concrete answer to the applicant? I am not trying to be mean to the CC parents or in this particular forum our fellow U of C alumni/parents who genuinely want to help the applicants. However, logically I just don't see how we alumni/parents can answer the chance of admission question with a high degree of confidence.

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